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Textiles US economy projected to expand by 2% in next 2 years: S&P Global 30 Nov '24 3 min read Pic: Adobe Stock Insights The US economy is projected to expand by 2 per cent in the next two years—incorporating partial implementation of President-elect Donald Trump's proposed policies—following 2.7-per cent growth this year, according to S&P Global Ratings. It expects growth to come in at 2.3 per cent in 2024 and 1.9 per cent in 2025, down from 3.2 per cent in Q4 2023. Uncertainty around the forecasts is high. The US economy is projected to expand by 2 per cent in the next two years—incorporating partial implementation of President-elect Donald Trump's proposed policies—following 2.7-per cent growth this year, according to S&P Global Ratings.It expects growth to come in at 2.3 per cent in 2024 and 1.9 per cent in 2025, down from 3.2 per cent in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2023.The rating agency expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce the federal funds rate more gradually than what it had considered in its September forecast update and reach an assumed neutral rate of 3.1 per cent by Q4 of 2026.The US economy is projected to expand by 2 per cent in the next two years—incorporating partial implementation of President-elect Donald Trump's proposed policies—following 2.7-per cent growth this year, according to S&P Global Ratings. It expects growth to come in at 2.3 per cent in 2024 and 1.9 per cent in 2025, down from 3.2 per cent in Q4 2023. Uncertainty around the forecasts is high.Uncertainty around the forecasts is high given unknowns about how much of Trump's campaign promises will materialise, it said in a release.Trump's policy proposals from his campaign, at face value, could result in higher inflation in the near term and lower growth in the medium to long term. And the probability of a disruption to the Fed's easing bias over the next two years has risen, said the release.It will take time for changes in fiscal, trade and immigration policy to be implemented and affect the economy, it noted.Inflation is likely to be above the 2 per cent target for longer than the rating agency previously thought. Probability of a disruption to the Fed's easing bias has risen. The federal funds rate is now expected to reach 3.5-3.75 per cent by the end of next year (versus 3-3.25 per cent in the September outlook).S&P Global Ratings expects nominal holiday sales will slow to about 3 per cent in 2024 from 4.7 per cent last year, which is moderately below the pre-pandemic (2015-2019) average of 3.6 per centNominal retail sales surpassed expectations in October with a 0.4-per cent gain over the month. This provided a good start for consumer spending in Q4 2024.The US manufacturing sector has been stalled for much of the last two years, with only tentative signs of a rebound. Manufacturers also have a historically elevated amount of inventory and will want to move it before doubling down on increased production, S&P Global said.Although the US manufacturing sector remained in contraction territory at the start of Q4 2024, S&P Global's manufacturing purchasing managers' index pointed to the downturn easing.Meanwhile, business sentiment measures improved slightly even before the election outcome was known, but they remain well below historical norms.The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index recorded a moderate improvement in October--a welcome development, though it did little to boost sentiment, S&P Global added. Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS) More Textiles News - United States Of America... -->

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Textiles World Bank calls for more investment in PIC-11's future; growth slows 20 Oct '24 3 min read Pic: Adobe Stock Insights Growth across 11 Pacific Island countries this year is estimated to have slowed significantly to 3.6 per cent, following a robust 5.8-per cent expansion in 2023, the World Bank's Pacific Economic Update said. The report underscores the urgent need for targeted investment to create jobs, improve infrastructure and build resilience against climate change amid global uncertainty in the region. Growth across 11 Pacific Island countries (PIC-11) this year is estimated to have slowed significantly to 3.6 per cent, following a robust 5.8-per cent expansion in 2023, according to the World Bank’s recent Pacific Economic Update.This slowdown reflects the diminishing impact of the post-pandemic recovery, particularly in Fiji, which accounts for over half of the output of the PIC-11. Fiji’s growth is projected to decelerate to 3.1 per cent, down sharply from 8 per cent in 2023, as economic activity returns to pre-pandemic levels.Growth across 11 Pacific Island countries this year is estimated to have slowed significantly to 3.6 per cent, following a robust 5.8-per cent expansion in 2023, the World Bank's Pacific Economic Update said. The report underscores the urgent need for targeted investment to create jobs, improve infrastructure and build resilience against climate change amid global uncertainty in the region.Meanwhile, Solomon Islands is expected to see more moderate growth of 2.5 per cent, compared to 3 per cent in 2023, due to structural challenges limiting the economy’s capacity to sustain higher growth rates.The report, titled ‘Diminishing Growth amid Global Uncertainty: Ramping Up Investment in the Pacific’, underscores the urgent need for targeted investment to create jobs, improve infrastructure and build resilience against climate change amid global uncertainty in the region, the World Bank said in a press release.These actions are crucial for improving the livelihoods of Pacific communities and narrowing the income gap with higher-income nations.Growth in the region is settling into a slower pace, signaling a weaker outlook compared to past performance. This slowdown is attributed to weaker investment, increasing climate risks, and structural challenges, all amid continuing global uncertainty that continues to hold back progress.The report emphasises that without immediate action to ramp up investment, Pacific nations may struggle to reduce poverty or generate new economic opportunities for the region’s people.The update offers six key recommendations to drive investment and ensure local communities benefit from economic growth. These include greater investment in high-potential sectors like agriculture, sustainable tourism, and the blue economy, which can create jobs and support rural livelihoods.Improving infrastructure—such as roads, ports, and energy systems—will boost connectivity, enabling businesses to expand and creating more job opportunities.Building fiscal and climate resilience is also critical. Investing in climate-resilient infrastructure, improving disaster preparedness, and building up financial reserves will protect communities from future shocks and ensure stability.Attracting private investment will require regulatory reforms to make it easier for businesses to operate, which will promote growth in key sectors and foster local development.Finally, enhancing access to finance, particularly for small businesses, will be essential for promoting sustainability and driving long-term growth. The report stresses the need to leverage international financial support to drive high-impact projects that directly benefit Pacific communities.The Economic Update highlights that with the right policies boosting investment, Pacific nations can overcome current economic challenges, build a more resilient future, and create tangible benefits for communities, businesses and governments across the region. Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS) More World Bank News... More Textiles News - United States Of America... -->

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